Assetz have done it again. In the company blog they have said that unemployment won't affect house prices.
The government has admitted that private sector unemployment is not going to be as bad as first thought, so "private sector unemployment is not going to affect house prices," they assert in a post on the company blog.
They then go on to explain how the result of the election will decide how many people are left unemployed by government spending cuts, possible putting the total jobless number up to 3.75million.
They don't believe it will be this high, because they say the government will choose other methods of cutting spending, anybody fancy the end of Quangos for example ? Assetz asks.
But even if the government does cut a million jobs, this still won't affect house prices, because private sector recruitment will increase to balance the effect, and also because it won't outweigh the positive effects of significant lack of supply.
Yes, the massive supply shortages are propping up prices, but surely they cannot expect that to keep prices rising forever. What everyone who wants a housing market recovery wants is a massive increase in demand, and in transactions.
For that to happen we need supply to increase so there is a home suitable and affordable for everyone. At any rate if prices keep increasing, and if there is a big increase in demand, more people will be selling their house and this will tip the supply balance. You just cannot have a positive housing market based on what can only be considered a negative keeping price growth positive.
Of course, the biggest negative is the constricted mortgage market, until that changes it is only likely to be weak supply that is capable of pushing prices up.
As we always say, though we love to follow house prices, they really are not all that important. Firstly the national average is very rarely found on any British street or area, and secondly all houses are falling in value so in most cases the money you lose in selling you will gain in buying.
So, why not give it a go while the going's good; sell your house with Zungalow for just £29 per year.