Is UK Housing Past Its Worst? Even we are starting to think it might be, or...

by RichardM 15. October 2009 21:45

The UK housing market is "past the worst" according to foreign exchange company Moneycorp. In an interview with Write About Property, David Kerns, dealing manager in the Moneycorp private division, said:

"Housing, data at the moment would certainly confirm that the UK housing sector is, certainly past its worst, and we've seen about 5-6 months now of growth in UK housing."

His statements come just days after the government index run by the Department of Communities and Local Government came out showing a 0.5% increase on the month of August, and a 2.7% increase on the quarter.

The interviewer, Liam Bailey was silent for the first time in nearly the whole interview. This is because, Liam believes like we do here at Zungalow that there is a second dip on the horizon for UK house prices.

That is, we did believe it, but every time an index that we trust; an index with no commercial interest in creating positive sentiment comes out showing continued growth in UK house prices, we doubt ourselves just a little bit more.

I mean, David Kerns sounds old enough to have analysed more than the current recession, and he has his finger on the pulse of the shocking employment figures the same as we do, but he truly thinks the housing market is past its worst, strongly enough to base currency dealing decisions on it.

That said, as Kerns admitted in the interview: housing is not crucial to making forex calculations at the moment, because all the other data is and will keep Sterling low, and things like rising unemployment and quantitative easing need to be stopped before Sterling can really grow. So he has no reason to analyse the housing market at the same lengths as we have and will continue to.

As we always say, though we love to follow house prices, they really are not all that important. Firstly the national average is very rarely found on any British street or area, and secondly all houses are falling in value so in most cases the money you lose in selling you will gain in buying.

So, why not give it a go while the going's good; sell your house with Zungalow for just £29 per year.

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Is UK Housing Past Its Worst? Even we are starting to think it might be, or...

by RichardM 15. October 2009 21:45

The UK housing market is "past the worst" according to foreign exchange company Moneycorp. In an interview with Write About Property, David Kerns, dealing manager in the Moneycorp private division, said:

"Housing, data at the moment would certainly confirm that the UK housing sector is, certainly past its worst, and we've seen about 5-6 months now of growth in UK housing."

His statements come just days after the government index run by the Department of Communities and Local Government came out showing a 0.5% increase on the month of August, and a 2.7% increase on the quarter.

The interviewer, Liam Bailey was silent for the first time in nearly the whole interview. This is because, Liam believes like we do here at Zungalow that there is a second dip on the horizon for UK house prices.

That is, we did believe it, but every time an index that we trust; an index with no commercial interest in creating positive sentiment comes out showing continued growth in UK house prices, we doubt ourselves just a little bit more.

I mean, David Kerns sounds old enough to have analysed more than the current recession, and he has his finger on the pulse of the shocking employment figures the same as we do, but he truly thinks the housing market is past its worst, strongly enough to base currency dealing decisions on it.

That said, as Kerns admitted in the interview: housing is not crucial to making forex calculations at the moment, because all the other data is and will keep Sterling low, and things like rising unemployment and quantitative easing need to be stopped before Sterling can really grow. So he has no reason to analyse the housing market at the same lengths as we have and will continue to.

As we always say, though we love to follow house prices, they really are not all that important. Firstly the national average is very rarely found on any British street or area, and secondly all houses are falling in value so in most cases the money you lose in selling you will gain in buying.

So, why not give it a go while the going's good; sell your house with Zungalow for just £29 per year.

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FT Index Shows UK House Prices Still Rising but Recovery is Vulnerable

by Liam Bailey 9. October 2009 13:37

The Financial Times index, one of the most impartial and arguably most accurate indices of UK house prices recorded a 0.6% increase in house prices in September. UK house prices are now 5.6% lower than they were at this time last year, and at similar levels to August 2006.

The FT index is compiled by Acadametrics, which said that this, the fifth consecutive monthly rise in house prices clearly indicates a recovery, but that things could still turnaround at any minute. Peter Williams, chairman of Acadametrics said:

“Consumer confidence is recovering and there are indications that mortgage supply has stabilised and might increase along with the number of properties coming to market and the transactions that follow. However, all this is delicately balanced. The government and the Bank must continue to make the right calls to avoid disrupting this fragile recovery and it is simply too soon to say the course going forward is set.”

The Acadametrics/FT index is a good one to follow, because it is not based on mortgage approvals like those of Nationwide and Halifax, it is based on actual transactions recorded in the Land Registry, but it is better than the Land Registry index because it continually adds the most recent sales recorded at the Registry, and the index is constantly updated with the changes.

For that reason, we can look at this and say that the Land Registry index for September will show prices rising again after the fall in August. I have been saying since the Land Registry index came out in August that it wasn't a blip, it was the start of the second dip, bla bla bla. Looks like I was wrong.

However, with unemployment still rising, the mortgage market still heavily restricted and supply alone holding up a market in which first time buyers still can't afford to buy, I still think a second dip is inevitable in the short term.

Like this post, Subscribe to our feed. If you want to sell your house while prices are rising, do so with Zungalow for just £29 per year.

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The Times Says Sell Now, Sellers Hope No One Listens

by RichardM 23. August 2009 07:14
FSBO Sign

This article that I have just read in The Times is about the best example I've seen so far to show the topsy-turvy world of the current UK housing market.

The article is on how now is the time to sell your house because you stand a good chance of getting a good price, because low-stock levels mean little competition from other sellers. But it is also noted in the article that if supply increases massively it will likely drive prices down yet again.

So if everyone follows the advice of those in the article, then everyone will be knackered for getting a good price. The irony could be that, by printing this article The Times have given the game away.

We have been warning on this blog for many months now, that a rapid increase in supply would be detrimental to the future of UK house prices, and how the currently positive news threatened to make that a reality. However, it does seem that there have been a few shrewd people who have timed it just right in their area and got an extremely good price for their house.

If you do decide to follow the advice of the Times interviewees and check out housing supply and get started about selling your house, Zungalow offers a fantastic property advertising package for just £29 per year. Such a low price perhaps takes the risk out of sticking your toe into the house selling water.

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Private Property Sellers Can Benefit from Valuing their Own Properties

by RichardM 13. August 2009 16:41

The Little House Company, has unveiled a new paid-for service to allow private property sellers to gain detailed information about a property so that they can reach the best possible valuation.

As people continue to be disappointed with the length of time their property has been on the market for, more and more people are advertising their properties on private property sales sites like Little House and Zungalow, and adding a clause to their estate agents' contract so that they pay no fee if their private efforts sell the property.

Doing this makes their estate agent work harder and also gives them a better chance of selling their property in a timely fashion.

The biggest challenge to a timely house sale is an inaccurate valuation. During high times estate agents have admitted inflating house prices to make more money, and in the current (low times) climate estate agents have been known to inflate valuations to gain instructions.

That said; it is a good idea to conduct your own valuation, even if you have an agent value and then make a judgement based on all the information to hand. This is a good idea whether you plan to sell your house privately or not.

If you do not want to pay for the ability to do your own valuation, here is how you can do it for free:

 

  1. Put your postcode into the Land Registry's index page
    This will tell you how much houses in your area are selling for
  2. Use Nationwide's House Price Calculator
    This allows you to enter the value of your house at previous valuations to calculate how much it is worth now.
  3. Take the two figures and apply a little common sense to reach your sale price
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Leverage Zungalow by always having your property on the market

by RichardM 25. May 2009 18:53

One way to leverage the full potential of Zungalow is to always have your property on the market. This strategy only costs £29 per year and allows potential buyers to make an offer should your property be of interest to them.

This is a major shift from the current property system where you only list your home if actively selling.

As the cost for selling on Zungalow is so low it allows everyone to list their property permanently.

To do this a HIPS or Home Report must be in place by law. Zungalow will be introducing a partnership with providers of these services in the near future.

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